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Big CME direct hit expected. Aurora alert 5nvklj





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    Big CME direct hit expected. Aurora alert

    Dragon
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    Big CME direct hit expected. Aurora alert Empty Big CME direct hit expected. Aurora alert

    Post by Dragon Sun Mar 13, 2022 1:47 am

    A long-lasting solar flare took place near the large sunspot region AR2960 on March 10, 2022.

    It produced an Earth-directed coronal mass ejection (CME). The estimated arrival time for charged particles from the sun is 11:35 UTC (plus minus 7 hours) on March 13.

    That means auroral activity might increase tonight (the night of March 12-13) for observers in the Western Hemisphere.

    The estimate comes from the NASA ENLIL solar wind / CME model, used by scientists.

    The impact is estimated to be between Kp=5 to 8 or geomagnetic storm from minor (G1) to severe (G4).

    This will be a direct hit of Earth by a large CME.

    The resulting geomagnetic effects have the potential to provide a beautiful auroral show.


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    Dragon
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    Post by Dragon Sun Mar 13, 2022 1:48 am

    Big CME direct hit expected. Aurora alert CME-mar10-2022-optimized

    As reported by Spaceweather.com, coronagraphs onboard the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory recorded the storm cloud leaving the sun on March 10, 2022.

    The occulting disk in the center hides the bright sun from view.

    The bright object to the right of the sun in this image is our solar system’s largest planet, Jupiter.

    This planet recently passed behind the sun as seen from Earth and is due to re-emerge into our eastern sky before dawn soon.


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    Big CME direct hit expected. Aurora alert 334pu7m
    Dragon
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    Big CME direct hit expected. Aurora alert Empty Re: Big CME direct hit expected. Aurora alert

    Post by Dragon Sun Mar 13, 2022 1:52 am

    Big CME direct hit expected. Aurora alert CME-model-nasa-Mardch-2022-optimized
    Image via NASA GSFC.

    Animated gif of the ENLIL model for March 10 to 20, 2022.

    Earth is the yellow circle on the left image showing the solar system.

    The left image shows the top-down view. Center image shows the side view at Earth.

    Right image shows the stretched out view with Earth at the center.


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    Big CME direct hit expected. Aurora alert Empty Re: Big CME direct hit expected. Aurora alert

    Post by Dragon Sun Mar 13, 2022 1:53 am



    Earth-directed CME


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    Big CME direct hit expected. Aurora alert 334pu7m

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